Selected outcome
Shaheen, 7+ pts
wide spread 69–80%
76%
Shaheen, 7+ pts · 76%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Shaheen, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,713 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.8¢
- Shaheen, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,686 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 59¢
- Shaheen, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,743 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 40¢
- Shaheen, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$747 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 30¢
- Shaheen, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Shaheen, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Shaheen, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,244 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 84¢
- Shaheen, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,109 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Hampshire's 1st District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.