Selected outcome
Mejia, 14+ pts
wide spread 73–85%
Mejia, 14+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Mejia, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.7¢
- Mejia, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Mejia, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Mejia, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Mejia, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Mejia, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Mejia, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Mejia, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Mejia, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 89–99%
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 11th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.