Selected outcome
Mejia, 8+ pts
wide spread 89–99%
97%
Mejia, 8+ pts · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mejia, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.7¢
- Mejia, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Mejia, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Mejia, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Mejia, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Mejia, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Mejia, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Mejia, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Mejia, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 11th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 89–99%
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 11th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.