Selected outcome
Vasquez, 22+ pts
wide spread 4–15%
14%
Vasquez, 22+ pts · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Vasquez, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$493 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92¢
- Vasquez, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$523 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Vasquez, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$541 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 43¢
- Vasquez, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
- Vasquez, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$374 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Vasquez, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$138 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 15¢
- Vasquez, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$93 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Vasquez, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$735 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Vasquez, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$345 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Mexico's 2nd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.