Selected outcome
Vasquez, 4+ pts
wide spread 73–85%
Vasquez, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Vasquez, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$493 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92¢
- Vasquez, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$523 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Vasquez, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$541 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 43¢
- Vasquez, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
- Vasquez, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$374 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Vasquez, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$138 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 15¢
- Vasquez, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$93 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Vasquez, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$735 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Vasquez, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$345 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Mexico's 2nd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.