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New Mexico Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Luján, 23+ pts

wide spread 34–46%

35%

Luján, 23+ pts · 35%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Luján, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 25 percentage points?

    29%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 31+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 31 percentage points?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 11 percentage points?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$341 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 97.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 13 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$198 vol

    wide spread 82–93%

    Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 15 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$260 vol

    wide spread 75–86%

    Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 17 percentage points?

    72%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$417 vol

    wide spread 66–77%

    Bid 66¢ · Ask 77¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 19 percentage points?

    65%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol

    wide spread 56–67%

    Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 21 percentage points?

    43%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,160 vol

    wide spread 43–54%

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 23 percentage points?

    35%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol

    wide spread 34–46%

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 27+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 27 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 16–27%

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 29+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 29 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 10–20%

    Bid 9.5¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luján, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 9 percentage points?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$263 vol

    Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 99.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$2,866
Liquidity
—
Open int.
3,829 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Mexico by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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