Selected outcome
Luján, 27+ pts
wide spread 16–27%
Luján, 27+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Luján, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 25 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 34¢
- Luján, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 31 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢
- Luján, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 11 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$341 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97.1¢
- Luján, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$198 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.8¢
- Luján, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$260 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Luján, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 17 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$417 vol
wide spread 66–77%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 77¢
- Luján, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 19 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
- Luján, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 21 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,160 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- Luján, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 23 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Luján, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- Luján, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–20%
Bid 9.5¢ · Ask 20¢
- Luján, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 9 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$263 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 99.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Mexico by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.