Selected outcome
Horsford, 1+ pts
94%
Horsford, 1+ pts · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Horsford, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,193 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Horsford, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Horsford, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,122 vol
Bid 56¢ · Ask 66¢
- Horsford, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Horsford, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$445 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢
- Horsford, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Horsford, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 8–18%
Bid 7.9¢ · Ask 18¢
- Horsford, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.4¢
- Horsford, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$413 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.