Selected outcome
Horsford, 25+ pts
wide spread 8–18%
12%
Horsford, 25+ pts · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Horsford, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,193 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Horsford, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Horsford, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,122 vol
Bid 56¢ · Ask 66¢
- Horsford, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Horsford, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$445 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢
- Horsford, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Horsford, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 8–18%
Bid 7.9¢ · Ask 18¢
- Horsford, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.4¢
- Horsford, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$413 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 4th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.