Selected outcome
LaLota, 12+ pts
wide spread 21–33%
27%
LaLota, 12+ pts · 27%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- LaLota, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$277 24h · ~$402 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 54¢
- LaLota, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$63 24h · ~$1,073 vol
wide spread 36–47%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 47¢
- LaLota, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- LaLota, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol
wide spread 76–88%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 88¢
- LaLota, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$867 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- LaLota, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 21¢
- LaLota, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- LaLota, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$174 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 1st District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.