Selected outcome
LaLota, 3+ pts
wide spread 68–80%
73%
LaLota, 3+ pts · 73%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- LaLota, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$277 24h · ~$402 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 54¢
- LaLota, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$63 24h · ~$1,073 vol
wide spread 36–47%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 47¢
- LaLota, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- LaLota, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol
wide spread 76–88%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 88¢
- LaLota, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$867 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- LaLota, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 21¢
- LaLota, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- LaLota, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$174 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.