Selected outcome
Garbarino, 16+ pts
wide spread 14–26%
24%
Garbarino, 16+ pts · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Garbarino, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$606 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 88¢
- Garbarino, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$604 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Garbarino, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$285 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Garbarino, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Garbarino, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Garbarino, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Garbarino, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Garbarino, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,262 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 2nd District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.