Selected outcome
Garbarino, 7+ pts
wide spread 55–67%
Garbarino, 7+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Garbarino, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$606 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 88¢
- Garbarino, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$604 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Garbarino, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$285 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Garbarino, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Garbarino, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Garbarino, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Garbarino, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Garbarino, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,262 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 2nd District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.