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New York's 4th District margin of victory

Open

New York's 4th District

Selected outcome

Gillen, 12+ pts

wide spread 46–57%

50%

Gillen, 12+ pts · 50%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Gillen, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?

    50%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,262 vol

    wide spread 46–57%

    Bid 46¢ · Ask 57¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$781 vol

    wide spread 33–44%

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$212 vol

    wide spread 21–32%

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 10–21%

    Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 24+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 3–14%

    Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

    86%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$533 vol

    wide spread 81–93%

    Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 6+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?

    75%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$644 vol

    wide spread 73–85%

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gillen, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$859 vol

    wide spread 61–72%

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$4,293
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,981 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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