Selected outcome
Ryan, 25+ pts
wide spread 9–21%
17%
Ryan, 25+ pts · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ryan, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Ryan, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Ryan, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Ryan, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Ryan, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Ryan, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 21¢
- Ryan, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- Ryan, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.8¢
- Ryan, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 93.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 18th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.