Selected outcome
Ryan, 7+ pts
wide spread 83–94%
Ryan, 7+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ryan, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Ryan, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Ryan, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Ryan, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Ryan, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Ryan, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 21¢
- Ryan, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- Ryan, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.8¢
- Ryan, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 93.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 18th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.