Selected outcome
Riley, 21+ pts
wide spread 16–27%
21%
Riley, 21+ pts · 21%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Riley, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$482 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- Riley, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Riley, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Riley, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$459 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 71¢
- Riley, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Riley, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 41¢
- Riley, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$526 vol
wide spread 88–98%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Riley, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$225 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
- Riley, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 19th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.