Selected outcome
Riley, 3+ pts
wide spread 88–98%
Riley, 3+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Riley, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$482 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- Riley, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Riley, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Riley, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$459 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 71¢
- Riley, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Riley, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 41¢
- Riley, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$526 vol
wide spread 88–98%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Riley, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$225 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
- Riley, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 19th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.