Selected outcome
Constantino, 1+ pts
wide spread 66–77%
Constantino, 1+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Constantino, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$348 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Constantino, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–77%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 77¢
- Constantino, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$472 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- Constantino, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$216 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 17¢
- Constantino, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Constantino, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- Constantino, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
Ask 6.8¢
- Constantino, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$270 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Constantino, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 21st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.