Selected outcome
Mannion, 14+ pts
wide spread 69–81%
Mannion, 14+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Mannion, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$863 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.5¢
- Mannion, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,043 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Mannion, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Mannion, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- Mannion, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Mannion, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Mannion, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
- Mannion, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
Bid 90.7¢ · Ask 99.2¢
- Mannion, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$361 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 22nd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.