Selected outcome
Mannion, 5+ pts
95%
Mannion, 5+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Mannion, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$863 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.5¢
- Mannion, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,043 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Mannion, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Mannion, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- Mannion, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Mannion, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Mannion, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
- Mannion, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
Bid 90.7¢ · Ask 99.2¢
- Mannion, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$361 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 22nd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.