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New York's 24th District margin of victory

Open

New York's 24th District

Selected outcome

Tenney, 18+ pts

wide spread 53–65%

53%

Tenney, 18+ pts · 53%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Tenney, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 79–90%

    Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$135 vol

    wide spread 68–79%

    Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?

    53%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol

    wide spread 53–65%

    Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 37–49%

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 24+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol

    wide spread 22–33%

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 27+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 11–23%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 30+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 2–14%

    Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 33+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol

    Ask 9.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tenney, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 95.8¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$462
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,046 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 24th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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