Selected outcome
Tenney, 33+ pts
Tenney, 33+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Tenney, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.1¢
- Tenney, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$135 vol
wide spread 68–79%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 79¢
- Tenney, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Tenney, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Tenney, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- Tenney, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Tenney, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Tenney, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol
Ask 9.6¢
- Tenney, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 95.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 24th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.