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New York Governor margin of victory

Open

New York Governor

Selected outcome

Hochul, 22+ pts

11%

Hochul, 22+ pts · 11%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Hochul, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 4 percentage points?

    91%

    Open · ~$4,255 24h · ~$5,473 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 92¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 7 percentage points?

    82%

    Open · ~$147 24h · ~$1,924 vol

    Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 10 percentage points?

    72%

    Open · ~$20 24h · ~$5,941 vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 16 percentage points?

    37%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$2,433 vol

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 19 percentage points?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$530 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 13 percentage points?

    57%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,532 vol

    Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 22 percentage points?

    11%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol

    Bid 6.9¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 25 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 9.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hochul, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 28 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 5.4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$4,427
Volume
~$22k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
29k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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