Selected outcome
Hochul, 25+ pts
5%
Hochul, 25+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hochul, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 4 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$4,255 24h · ~$5,473 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 92¢
- Hochul, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 7 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$147 24h · ~$1,924 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢
- Hochul, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 10 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$20 24h · ~$5,941 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 74¢
- Hochul, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 16 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$2,433 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 39¢
- Hochul, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 19 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$530 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 26¢
- Hochul, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 13 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,532 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢
- Hochul, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 22 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
Bid 6.9¢ · Ask 15¢
- Hochul, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 25 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Hochul, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 28 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.