Selected outcome
Carey, 11+ pts
wide spread 11–23%
19%
Carey, 11+ pts · 19%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Carey, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Carey, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Carey, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Carey, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Carey, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8¢
- Carey, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Carey, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$129 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 15th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.