Selected outcome
Carey, 5+ pts
wide spread 42–54%
51%
Carey, 5+ pts · 51%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Carey, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Carey, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Carey, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Carey, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Carey, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8¢
- Carey, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Carey, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$129 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 15th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.