Selected outcome
Bice, 11+ pts
wide spread 26–38%
30%
Bice, 11+ pts · 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bice, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$289 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Bice, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$283 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Bice, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 6–16%
Bid 5.5¢ · Ask 16¢
- Bice, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,556 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Bice, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$264 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Bice, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 7.9¢
- Bice, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Bice, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Bice, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 5th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.