Selected outcome
Bice, 8+ pts
wide spread 40–52%
Bice, 8+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bice, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$289 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Bice, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$283 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Bice, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 6–16%
Bid 5.5¢ · Ask 16¢
- Bice, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,556 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Bice, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$264 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Bice, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 7.9¢
- Bice, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Bice, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Bice, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 5th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.