Selected outcome
Hoyle, 9+ pts
wide spread 75–86%
Hoyle, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Hoyle, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Hoyle, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
- Hoyle, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Hoyle, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Hoyle, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Hoyle, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Hoyle, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$155 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 16¢
- Hoyle, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,509 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- Hoyle, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 4th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.