Selected outcome
Harvie, 10+ pts
9%
Harvie, 10+ pts · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Harvie, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$272 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Harvie, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$97 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 9.2¢
- Harvie, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$570 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- Harvie, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.