Selected outcome
Harvie, 4+ pts
wide spread 12–23%
21%
Harvie, 4+ pts · 21%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Harvie, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$272 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Harvie, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$97 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 9.2¢
- Harvie, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$570 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- Harvie, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.