Selected outcome
Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts
10%
Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$93 24h · ~$442 vol
wide spread 28–39%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 39¢
- Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$90 24h · ~$441 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$46 24h · ~$236 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢
- Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$141 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 14¢
- Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 8.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.