Selected outcome
Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts
wide spread 28–39%
32%
Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts · 32%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$93 24h · ~$442 vol
wide spread 28–39%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 39¢
- Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$90 24h · ~$441 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$46 24h · ~$236 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢
- Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$141 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 14¢
- Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 8.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.