Selected outcome
Cognetti, 11+ pts
wide spread 16–28%
Cognetti, 11+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Cognetti, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Cognetti, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 8–18%
Bid 7.9¢ · Ask 18¢
- Cognetti, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$326 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 72¢
- Cognetti, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$268 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- Cognetti, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$255 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 8th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.