Selected outcome
Cognetti, 2+ pts
68%
Cognetti, 2+ pts · 68%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Cognetti, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Cognetti, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 8–18%
Bid 7.9¢ · Ask 18¢
- Cognetti, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$326 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 72¢
- Cognetti, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$268 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- Cognetti, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$255 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 8th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.