Selected outcome
Kelly, 6+ pts
wide spread 75–87%
Kelly, 6+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Kelly, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$108 24h · ~$162 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Kelly, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 92.8¢
- Kelly, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–87%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 87¢
- Kelly, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Kelly, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Kelly, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Kelly, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
- Kelly, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Kelly, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
last
Ask 8.3¢
- Kelly, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.5¢
- Kelly, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 16th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 16th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.