Selected outcome
Timmons, 21+ pts
wide spread 21–33%
32%
Timmons, 21+ pts · 32%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Timmons, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Timmons, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Timmons, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Timmons, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Timmons, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 21¢
- Timmons, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Timmons, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 9.5¢
- Timmons, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.7¢
- Timmons, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 79¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 4th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.