Selected outcome
Timmons, 9+ pts
77%
Timmons, 9+ pts · 77%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Timmons, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Timmons, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Timmons, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Timmons, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Timmons, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 21¢
- Timmons, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Timmons, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 9.5¢
- Timmons, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.7¢
- Timmons, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 79¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 4th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.