Selected outcome
DesJarlais, 33+ pts
5%
DesJarlais, 33+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- DesJarlais, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- DesJarlais, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- DesJarlais, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- DesJarlais, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- DesJarlais, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- DesJarlais, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- DesJarlais, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,426 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- DesJarlais, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$569 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 21¢
- DesJarlais, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$189 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
- DesJarlais, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- DesJarlais, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.3¢
- DesJarlais, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.4¢
- DesJarlais, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
- DesJarlais, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- DesJarlais, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 4th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.