Selected outcome
DesJarlais, 9+ pts
wide spread 84–95%
DesJarlais, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- DesJarlais, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- DesJarlais, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- DesJarlais, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- DesJarlais, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- DesJarlais, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- DesJarlais, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- DesJarlais, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,426 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- DesJarlais, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$569 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 21¢
- DesJarlais, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$189 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 16¢
- DesJarlais, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- DesJarlais, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.3¢
- DesJarlais, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.4¢
- DesJarlais, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
- DesJarlais, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- DesJarlais, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 4th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.