Selected outcome
Hatcher, 11+ pts
wide spread 44–56%
53%
Hatcher, 11+ pts · 53%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hatcher, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 13¢
- Hatcher, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Hatcher, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Hatcher, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Hatcher, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,308 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 87¢
- Hatcher, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.5¢ · Ask 20¢
- Hatcher, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Hatcher, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 5th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.