Selected outcome
Hatcher, 2+ pts
84%
Hatcher, 2+ pts · 84%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hatcher, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 13¢
- Hatcher, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Hatcher, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Hatcher, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Hatcher, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,308 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 87¢
- Hatcher, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.5¢ · Ask 20¢
- Hatcher, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Hatcher, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 5th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.