Selected outcome
Toth, 11+ pts
48%
Toth, 11+ pts · 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Toth, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$14 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 68¢ · Ask 78¢
- Toth, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢
- Toth, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 52¢
- Toth, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 26¢
- Toth, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.2¢
- Toth, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 17¢
- Toth, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 13¢
- Toth, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.3¢
- Toth, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 2nd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.