Selected outcome
Toth, 8+ pts
wide spread 56–67%
Toth, 8+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Toth, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$14 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 68¢ · Ask 78¢
- Toth, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢
- Toth, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 52¢
- Toth, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 26¢
- Toth, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.2¢
- Toth, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 17¢
- Toth, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 13¢
- Toth, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.3¢
- Toth, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 2nd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.