Selected outcome
Self, 10+ pts
wide spread 59–71%
Self, 10+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Self, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$23 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢
- Self, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$363 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Self, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$496 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Self, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Self, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Self, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Self, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Ask 8.9¢
- Self, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.2¢
- Self, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 3rd District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.