Selected outcome
Self, 4+ pts
wide spread 82–93%
Self, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Self, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$23 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢
- Self, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$363 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Self, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$496 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Self, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Self, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Self, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Self, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Ask 8.9¢
- Self, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.2¢
- Self, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.