Selected outcome
Ellzey, 16+ pts
wide spread 39–51%
44%
Ellzey, 16+ pts · 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ellzey, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$300 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Ellzey, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Ellzey, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Ellzey, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Ellzey, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Ellzey, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 17¢
- Ellzey, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Ellzey, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.3¢
- Ellzey, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 6th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.