Selected outcome
Ellzey, 7+ pts
wide spread 79–90%
Ellzey, 7+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ellzey, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$300 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Ellzey, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Ellzey, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Ellzey, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Ellzey, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Ellzey, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 17¢
- Ellzey, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Ellzey, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.3¢
- Ellzey, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 6th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.