Selected outcome
Nehls, 15+ pts
wide spread 37–49%
Nehls, 15+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Nehls, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Nehls, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Nehls, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Nehls, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Nehls, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
Bid 6.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Nehls, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Nehls, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.4¢
- Nehls, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Nehls, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 22nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.